General election polling suggests that Donald Trump would have a tough time besting Hillary Clinton, the likely Democratic presidential nominee.
For example, a polling-average matchup from Real Clear Politics currently puts Clinton 6.5 points ahead of The Donald. Not an overly large margin, to be sure, but a comfortable lead nonetheless.
However, some, such as Philip Wallach of the Washington Post, believe the race could be much closer than the polls suggest.
As some have pointed out, both candidates would have record-setting “unfavorability” ratings. This could lead to anemic turnout in a downright messy general election. Conventional wisdom might no longer apply.
What do you think? Either way, we’re likely to set historical precedent. Either we elect the first female United States president, or we elect the first to hold the office with no prior political experience.
And that’s not even counting a potential independent campaign.
It’ll be an interesting year.
Update on this story: Betting markets now give Dem nominee (most likely Clinton) a 72-28 edge over Trump. https://t.co/jEpw0t2fu5
— The Upshot (@UpshotNYT) May 7, 2016